@dhyanaji
Welcome to the forum. I see this is your first post, thank you for joining us.
Something to (hopefully) make you laugh:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojrtwXqqc6g
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pptyJgq4zkM
My apologies for not being around the past few weeks.. I have been working the phones remotely for the clinic for the past two weeks - 6 days a week and it was totally exhausting.. especially when I usually work only 2.5 days a week in the clinic regularly - being semi-retired. I go back in the clinic to Tuesday in spite of Georgia having still rising rates of Covid-19 and the Governor extending the shelter at home for high risk until 6-12-1-20. I am not in a financial position to decline to return at this time and thus must go and take my chances taking all precautions and continuing self-isolation where at all possible. I wanted to stop by and wish all of the mothers here a blessed and Happy Mother's Day. May we all find Joy and Love and Hope where we can and see our blessings in this time of turmoil and uncertainty. Prayers Light and Love ongoing to all. ❤️ ? ? ? ? ? ❤️
@lovendures It's very hard to go against the Indian tribes when they are just doing what is necessary to minimize loss of life among their own people. I understand that a treaty gives the Indian tribes jurisdiction over their territory, not the governor.
On Sunday, my dad went to an Asian supermarket to buy some lobsters for the stir fry. When he went there, the supermarket reopened but with a new owner. The place isn't busy. I feel that New York City and Long Island will reopen by late-May the earliest or mid-June the lastest.
I feel that the second wave will affect the red states, but worst than the blue states.
Sorry, but I disagree. Red states will see increases in cases and deaths regardless, but the blue states who have already "peaked" will see a second peak in cases.
Just today in Seoul, they found 50 new cases, all traceable to ONE person who visited 5 public places in one evening. And the reason they know that is that they have lots of testing and extremely efficient tracking.
I don’t think Long Island is opening up until may end of June or July. We have don’t meet all the criterias. Also I live 20 minutes away to the epicenter. 1 town alone has 4K positive and another almost 2k. Which is crazy since almost all towns have an average of let’s say 3 hundred. It can be more but I am ball parking it. Unfortunately the towns that have the most minorities are the worst affected. There numbers keep going up not down unfortunately.
https://www.longislandhub.com/coronavirus-long-island-towns#P
Sorry, but I disagree. Red states will see increases in cases and deaths regardless, but the blue states who have already "peaked" will see a second peak in cases.
Just today in Seoul, they found 50 new cases, all traceable to ONE person who visited 5 public places in one evening. And the reason they know that is that they have lots of testing and extremely efficient tracking.
50 cases?
Good Grief!!! That is certainly not 2 cases for one person, or even per place visited by one person.
There is a statistic called the "R naught" or R0. It represents the number of people infected by one person with a particular infectious disease. In the case of CV19, the goal is to keep the R0 to 2 or lower, meaning that an infectious person is not infecting more than 2 other people (whether they have symptoms or not).
Currently in the US, I believe I read that the R0 number in dense urban areas is 6.5 on average. Even if you round that down to 6, R0 is an exponential function, it means each of those 6 people in turn infect 6 other people, and so on and so on.
This doesn't mean an infected individual can't infect more or less than the R0 number.
Here is an excellent link to an article that lays out, with pictures (!) how CV19 spreads. Spoiler: we are nowhere near ready as a country, or frankly as a planet, to loosen up restrictions yet.
https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them
@enkasongwriter - I spent most of my life in LI, I am sorry it's so bad there. And yes, I see not just a second wave. What I see is a very bad second wave followed by smaller waves through 2021 into early 2022 - I see them as ripples on water that a stone has been thrown into, the first few ripples are bigger, and then the ripples get smaller until the water is calm again (and until the stone sinks to the bottom).