I hope Democrats have a good election night this Tuesday.
@jeanne-mayell My spouse works for the federal government and is furloughed.
One thing I didn't realize is that many federal employees have use or lose time off they need to use by the end of the year. So, if they don't take that time off they basically give it up. Understandably, they don't want to do that.
One potential implication of this is that even if the government opens before the end of the year, many employees still won't be at work because they are using their allotted time off before it expires.
Plus, the holidays are coming up. Not to mention all the people who are probably going to leave their jobs because they are fed up.
And if they lose their time off without getting compensated they will also be - understandably - angry. (Being furloughed is not the same as having vacation time off. One reason being that you have to report to work within 24 hours if the government reopens, so you cannot make plans or take any big trips. Some people also have to take turns working and being furloughed during the day or week).
So this could still be messy when things re-open.
I need to make a correction about what I wrote.
I (happily!) found out that federal employees won't lose thier time off due to the furlough, phew!
@jeanne-mayell Even more surprising ? She is now announcing she will read aloud the names on the list on the floor just as soon as Congress is back in session. She is definitely trying to "walk between two worlds" as my ancestors used to say. She should take note of the "things happen" to those who make the "naked emperor" unhappy and be extra cautious accordingly.
So I subscribed for the October predictions and I noticed that there really wasn't much about the election today. Which is interesting to me. That is, what is NOT given to you all is sometimes just as interesting as what messages are given. Kind of, sometimes its cause nobody asked or its not on their mind. But other times, yeah, its just interesting.
We had predictions on Gov of California Newson's proposal #50:
- California, close ballot initiative. Too close to call! the result has more to do with Newsom’s popularity. I get yes. (Jeanne)
- The ballot initiative in California passes. (Baba)
If we had some New Yorkers in our prediction group, we would have undoubtedly gotten predictions on the New York election. But I don't think we do. We tend to get visions on topics we are individually focussing on.
Also prediction elections has become difficult because there are new factors in national elections that take the issue away from just predicting who the most popular candidate is: (1) massive right wing propaganda (lies) that overwhelms the news, (2) unprecedented gerrymandering, (3) fixing the voting machines, and (4) preventing/discouraging voters from voting. It is one thing to psychically read the voters, which we've been able to do years ago. It is quite another thing to read how these new tricks are getting people elected who people did not want.
Assuming there isn't some of the trickery going on at a large scale in NYC, I put Mumdani as winner. I don't know if that helps but it is the best I can do.
Hey @Lawrence, (he's in NYC), what do you get?
@jeanne-mayell I just saw a TikTok post by AOC (not sure if I’m allowed to link it here but should be easy to find, she probably cross posted it to other socials as well) where she said that MTG appears to be going against orange because she wanted to run for GA senate and Orange shut her down so she is now out for revenge. This is not a valid news source but I tend to believe information coming directly from AOC.
@lyndsayt It's okay to link something that AOC is actually saying. I could not find it. But I do want people to hear her two months ago saying this:
Remember that Republicans are weaker than they look
This discussion goes in a different thread so I'm moving it to Resistance, Let us count the ways.