Curious about what areas are at risk in people’s visions. I’m a storm spotter, meteorology student, storm chaser in St. Petersburg Tampa Bay Florida. We rarely get any direct hits thankfully but we get impacts almost every year from hurricanes. Any strong wind or heavy rain/surge impacts for Tampa Bay, Florida peninsula this year? Most hurricanes hit south of us in Naples or fort Myers and bring strong winds but no structural damage; or they pass to our west and bring wind rain and moderate surge and hit the panhandle or big bend.
@navinsinghmedgmail-com Good question. We did get some spots in the May 29 latest predictions so I suggest you look there; as well as anything anyone posts here. I know that when I was meditating for this latest set of predictions, I was surprised to suddenly get that this hurricane season was to be a whopper. The driving force that came to me was the unprecedented high water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico. So storms were going to escalate suddenly and storm watchers would not be able to get people prepared. But that was just a quick passing vision. Will look again soon, and we will focus on hurricane season during next month's Read-the-Future meditation.
In general, I see a change over time in how storm watchers prepare people for hurricanes. Until the science of storm direction improves markedly, they will have to project a wider path of destruction earlier, which means many people will not evacuate.
Thank you very much very accurate insights our water temps are 10 degrees hotter than normal record hot in Tampa Bay waters- so yes I expect rapid intensification like Ian jumping to category 5 2 years ago and Idalia which jumped to cat 4 and brought 5.7 foot flooding surge in Tampa Bay even though it hit 100 miles west; with the water temps I did a meditation I saw a tropical storm coming towards Florida forecasted as a tropical storm but it unexpectedly intensifies to a cat 2 or 3, but not sure about where it landfalls.
@navinsinghmedgmail-com Give us some time. Likely we will do a hurricane meditation at some point. Or someone is going to respond here.
We do have predictions for hurricanes for this year. I am noticing some mention Florida.
Here is one I had from a RTFN in April of last year for this year.
- I see a red arrow pointing northward toward Florida’s Gulf coast and the Panhandle. I believe this is about a hurricane. The arrow is a warning or location indicator. (Lovendures) Predicted 4-2-2023 for 2024.
And a powerful one from Seaholly Also predicted during that RTF for which I believe may say everything that is needed to be said:
- Hurricanes are fierce this year. I see major flooding in Louisiana and Tennessee, as well as other places in the southern U.S. Florida is under water. I hear “stay away from the path of the storms” because they are at new level of virulence. (Seaholly) Predicted 4-2-2023 for 2024.
There are other hurricane predictions as well. I think now would be a great time to try and put some of them together for everyone. And like Jeanne said, a mediation on hurricanes would be prudent. Well, the prudent part is my specific word but I believe she thinks it would be a good idea.
When I think about hurricane season this year, I am uneasy. I also feel that as the years go on, moreand more hurricanes will also impact the west coast of the U.S. as they come up from Mexico.
@lovendures thank you 🙏 I’ve been basically addicted to tracking and watching hurricanes since 2004 Charley which was supposed to hit me as a major but spared Tampa Bay at the last second, and now Hurricane Irma 2017 and Hurricane Ian were close call, and Hurricane Idalia last year gave us a big storm surge. I filmed and witness all of them for my YouTube and social media but I’m also concerned about the well being of all people in hurricane areas in all states and countries. From my weather classes - a strong ridge in the right spot would put southeast Florida at the greatest risk like Miami to west Palm beach; and a trough would bring the big bend to the west coast at risk, a stronger ridge would steer towards Louisiana or Texas. Whenever there is an evacuation or hurricane warning im the only person who stays by the water during the strongest winds and surge- now if the surge rises i move two blocks to a safe elevation 30 feet and parking garage concrete than can handle 200 mph wind and keep me safe.hurricanes are like a drug to me I’ll stay up for a whole week watching them move- even my doctor has diagnosed me as manic lol because of this but I think it’s a gift.
Just to add clarification I am driven my the spirits of nature to experience rain and wind of hurricanes primarily, the social media YouTube is much less important as in- I’m not trying to become famous or profit off of filming hurricanes but helps to communicate information to general public, mainly my goal is to witness all the cyclones here
@navinsinghmedgmail-com do you have a link to your YouTube channel? I would be interested in watching that
@unk-p sure! I didn’t post it before just because I didn’t want to look like I was advertising on this forum lol but here it is: https://www.youtube.com/@tampabaystormchaser
Some indications in hurricane prediction models and ensembles (gfs/euro) of a weak tropical cyclone trying to form in the east pacific or northwest Caribbean and move into the eastern gulf, lots of uncertainty, but at the very least increased chances of rain and some gusty winds for Florida in about a week
Well, we can certainly use the rain, having had almost none for several weeks in North Central Florida.
I also love to watch hurricanes though not as up-close as you do. I like to go out on the porch and watch the drama unless it gets *too* dramatic. Living inland, we are pretty safe from most winds and floods except for falling trees-- but I got my trees all trimmed up last month and there is plenty of non-perishable food in the house in case the power goes out . All the recent storms in the midwest and South have gotten me a little spooked but I still think we're good. The last serious hurricane here was Francis in 2004.
@ana I remember Frances and Jeanne hurricanes of 2004 lots of gusts to hurricane force here! It’s good you are inland and safe from the strongest winds. The weather models now bring a tropical storm towards Florida somewhere between the big bend and the southern peninsula in 7 to 10 days so rain chances going up and also windy. The water of the gulf is 10 degrees above normal and the ocean heat content is high- so there is a chance of some rapid intensification, if shear can drop low enough. We will see but watching closely. Jeanne Mayell mentioned many gulf storms rapidly intensifying and the last 2 hurricanes to impact me (Hurricane Ian category 5 and Hurricane Idalia Category 4) underwent rapid intensification. Shear may prevent that intensification in this system but certainly by August and September many gulf systems will have the conditions needed to rapidly intensify.
@navinsinghmedgmail-com thanks for The info. do you have any links For the weather models? I’m curious to know what goes into those Projections and who’s making them. I promise we will get around to doing some meditation on it.
Yes two big models- for the euro model for hurricanes and rain for the gulf;
for gfs model for hurricanes:
I'm in Vero Beach this morning. Will be heading down to Ft. Lauderdale soon to catch the Disney Magic. As we are watching local news at breakfast in the hotel, they are calling for 5-15 inches of rain from this system. Glad we'll be sailing before then.
Living in a hurricane prone area, I'll attest to the usefulness of tropical tidbits.
@cindy Message to South Florida: If you'd like to direct some of that rain a few hundred miles north, we would be grateful for it. :-)
@navinsinghmedgmail-com Thanks for the links, which I will read. I also found this info from NOAA,that predicts a warmer than average ocean temps. (I had already "seen" these high ocean temperatures would be the driving force for a strong hurricane season), but NOAA confirmed it.
They also pointed out that the current El Nina in the Pacific will add to greater hurricanes (because el Nina's produce less wind shear. (Wind shear stops hurricanes from forming).
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season