I have been watching closely the Iran situation. it is not good.Trump is making a decision, by end of this week, about imposing sanctions on Iran, that may trigger a withdrawal from the International nuclear control treaty that was signed a while back. If this actually happens, the Iranians will withdraw from the treaty, citing bad faith by the Americans, as they have stuck fairly carefully to the treaty. (The treaty controls Iran,s ability to make nuclear weapons. ). Not good. This, in turn, is going to provoke a major war crisis in the Middle East. Not good. The Iranians themselves, have not yet been able to reach a decision, they are waiting for Trump. Trump, in turn, is under huge pressure, from various directions. The Isreali's are as usual meddling in this and causing problems. They have their own agenda, which is the effective destruction of Iran as a military threat to Isreal. This agenda is in grave danger of leading them into delusional thinking, that they can actually do this, without serious consequences, or using their nuclear weapons. There is an intense discussion in Isreal about the situation, inside the High Isreali state. No conclusions or decisions, yet. As I posted previously, this outcome, will affect the Korea peace negotiations. (They will continue, but are endangered by this issue.). So this Summer is a decisive one, where the outcomes for the next seven years are fixed. We have come to a fork in the road. I am fairly certain that Trump will end up trapping himself, ultimately, in a box, on this one. No way out, and no resolution of the situation. This may not become clear, until the late summer, when certain events have happened. But this coming time period, until end of the month is crucial. It sets the path, for the next 12 months. At the moment, no decisions. But watch Trumps decisions regarding Iran. That is the pivot point.
Wish I had an "Agree" button instead of "Like".
I totally agree with you and with John Bolton installed as Trump's National Security Adviser things could go south pretty quickly. Yes, it affects our negotiations with N Korea as it exposes Trump, and by extension, the United States, as someone that cannot be trusted. Stocking up on cans of pork and beans.
I feel this too. As matter of a fact, I just wrote to all of my members of Congress about this alarming situation. I asked them to be a check on Bolton- and the hollowed out NSA, as well as Pompeo and the State Department which is also hollowed out. Key pivotal points are all coming to a head: Iran agreement, North Korean talks, and the unraveling of Syria. I am doing what I can as a citizen to voice my concerns, working with local elections board, and sending lots of positive energy at the situation. I think this a all hands on deck situation. Light workers its time to send light.
Shawn how I wish you were right - in that we can change the outcome of this. It feels to me that the lunatics running the show won't care about any opposition. Do you remember the protests that happened in Britain and elsewhere in the lead up to the Iraq war. Those protests were huge and yet they had no effect on the decisions of their leaders. I feel similarly now. Iran has been demonized for decades, many of the neocons have long been itching for a war with Iran. This whole thing terrifies me. If the United States goes to war with Iran then it will be the end of American hegemony in the world. No one will trust America again after another illegal war. Paul I'm with you - stocking up on canned stuff.
Natalie,
One lone voice doesn’t change much, but many can reach critical mass. Even in this situation if my voicing my concerns gets nowhere, at least I know I’ve exhausted all of my resources & done everything I can. Honestly, I believe darkness likes to divide and conquer. It wants us to feel isolated & helpless- which I believe is hogwash. We are all connected- that’s what I think we are picking up on, is other people’s energies. So I do what I can in the world ( call, write, join with others), I visualize positive outcomes, I send light to the world &!the situations that are dire, and I stock up on water, just in case ?
Hi everyone, todays psychic scanning of the Syria/Iran crisis looks alarming. I picked up that the USA fleet (7th) is now surrounding the Island of Cyprus, where there is a very large British airbase, and which is being used for regular bombing of Syria. Neither the regular bombing, or the American protective fleet, are mentioned here in the UK media. looks like preparations, for something. I am fairly certain about the American military movements. looks like preparations for something are underway.
Yes to all. The situation is not good, we are picking up on collective fear AND allowing history to repeat itself- on more than one front. Jeanne ET all please forgive me for stepping out of the peaceful resolution perspective for a moment and say I believe we have reached a point where we must consider force here. By force I mean we must stop watching and waiting for a higher form of light to intervene. We must do more than contact our Congress, we must do more than pray for Mueller to get these Evil powers. We have been conditioned to think we have exhausted our own powers and have done enough. Consider that we are as guilty of projection as Trump and his Evil contingency is. They project that everyone is as nefarious as they are. We project that everyone is as well intentioned as we are. We give them the benefit of the doubt and expect them to capitulate to honesty and the rule of Law and Truth. It's time to admit to ourselves that there is no honesty or integrity in them. They count on our understanding that everyone has good in them to defeat us.
So, knowing that PLEASE everyone weigh in on what peaceful physical action we can best take as a collective. I'd say there is more than enough evidence that we must be willing to take to the streets now. Trump may never actually cross our red line of firing Mueller or Rosenstein. Are we willing to let things stand as they are and devolve from here if he does not? Have we really done enough? Did the Germans do enough to stop Hitler?
What should we do, given our current understanding of events when Trump withdraws from the Iran treaty tomorrow? Should we make this the line that propels us to the streets to demand his resignation? Or should we wait, watch and pray ? I'm asking because I really don't know anymore, and I for one am tired of not knowing. In direct contradiction to the Serenity Prayer and in the tradition of Seinfeld I demand "Serenity Now!" I too have water and dry goods in my cupboard. Enough for a couple weeks anyway :-)
Much Love to all! Serenity or not, we will overcome this challenge.
Hello everybody, I'm able to post again.
In connection with this, I sent an email to Jeanne on March 18 while I couldn't post, that I'm reposting here because it ties entirely with current events. I wasn't sure which thread to put it on, so do move it somewhere else if it should be. I add notes where events have already happened, or I see things moving in a somewhat different direction now.
I have another “hot dates” warning to make.
The dates go from the milk moon to the strawberry moon (29 May to 28 June), though some of the action is likely to be visible starting from the new moon (15 May). There is a connection between the actions during these coming hot dates and the hot week in mid-February I have mentioned in the past. Decisions were taken then that relate to what is coming.
The active areas are Iran, North Korea and, with lower intensity, Syria.
This is the dominant timeline: The US gives an ultimatum to Iran to change the nuclear deal or face a new embargo, with a veiled or not-so-veiled threat of a military option, at about the same time that the talks with North Korea start.
(Note: This is what has already happened. The demands of the US were unacceptable to Iran and they said from the start they wouldn't change the existing deal.)
I see a timeline where Kim Jong Un cancels the talks in view of the US behavior with Iran, but it's weaker than the one where the talks go ahead regardless.
(Note: I see the chances of North Korea talks being cancelled a lot smaller now. They will go ahead. This has a lot to do with the work of South Korea.)
In the talks, North Korea makes a proposal that is acceptable to South Korea and China but not to the US, because they continue refusing to de-nuclearise.
(Note: We know now that North Korea offers to de-nuclearise. I still see the US likely to find issues with the proposal, though.)
The talks fail, and after the failure (or cancellation, if they are cancelled), Trump gives North Korea an ultimatum or face the military option for de-nuclearisation.
(Note: I see now better chances of success of the North Korean talks, but this is still a big risk.)
At this point, China and Russia see the combination of postures in North Korea and Iran as threatening to start WWIII, which wasn't quite what was intended by the White House.
(Note: The current military positions are so aggressive that it's hard to deny now that elements within the current administration do want to start WWIII. However, there are still important people within the White House who don't want to. Trump himself is scared of the idea.)
They give a strongly worded ultimatum at the UN, making their red lines clear, the most significant being that they will not tolerate a military invasion of North Korea or Iran.
(Note: This is likely to come very soon, before the North Korea talks get started.)
At this point, several EU countries will propose to mediate to resolve the conflict diplomatically.
(Note: This is already happening in the case of Iran.)
It's possible that the situation steps back from the brink at this point. This won’t mean that we are out of the woods yet, though. I have been saying for a long time, and Zoron can confirm this, that 2017 to 2019 are hot years for the possibility of starting WWIII. So more hot dates will be on the horizon. The good news is, if by the end of this presidential term it hasn’t happened, it’s far less likely to, even if Trump got re-elected.
However, if people don’t step back from the cliff, there is a strong timeline that leads to World War. In this timeline, an incident in Syria involving Russian forces and drones happens in the middle of the delicate negotiations between China, Russia, the US and the EU, and triggers the decision from the White House that it's imperative to demonstrate force.
(Note: Now I also sense Israeli forces involved in the incident)
The military option in North Korea gets the go-ahead, plus additional forces get sent to the Middle East. At this point, China and Russia agree that their ultimatum has been breached.
(Note: Now I see a significant chance that North Korea is left aside and all the military activity is restricted to the Middle East.)
These are the main features I see for the opening stages of war:
- North Korea: The US attack is mostly successful. Kim Jong Un does little to attack South Korea and focuses his efforts on retaliating against American forces. I see a low probability of North Korea successfully doing a nuclear attack on American territory, though it isn't impossible. Successful attacks with conventional weapons on the bases of Guam and Okinawa are more likely. If a nuclear-capable missile is successfully fired against American territory, I see it going wide off the mark. One possibility is triggering a tsunami in the area of Hawaii, after missing the island target. Another is hitting the West of mainland States but away from all major cities. Both are low probability. However, the Chinese reaction to the US attack will be quick. They'll send forces into North Korea to stabilise the situation (from their point of view), and they will succeed at gaining control of the area.
(Note: As mentioned before, now I see a possibility of North Korea not getting involved till later on.)
- Middle East: The initial stages will be extremely chaotic. The main feature will be Turkey declaring themselves on the side of Russia and Iran.
- Europe and United States: Russia will make an attack on the electrical grid of mainland USA, leaving millions without electricity for several days and some people for weeks. At this point, though it also may do so earlier, USA will invoke article 5 of NATO. However, NATO will disintegrate the first time the organisation is asked to fulfil its main purpose. Turkey passing to the other side of the fence will open the door for other countries choosing to declare themselves neutral, and this will be an especially attractive option in Eastern Europe. Hungary and the Czech Republic will do so, Poland is very likely to follow suit, and several other small Eastern European countries are likely to follow Poland's lead. This could extend further to Southern European countries (Greece, Italy and Spain). If it extends widely, Germany will choose neutrality as well. How many European countries declare themselves neutral is very much hanging on the balance, and on these decisions will depend the final outcome of the war. If few do so, the war will be won by America and their allies. If most of Europe are neutral, the chances favour Russia and China.
(Note: I see now less chances of Poland declaring neutrality, but more that Germany and Italy do)
Welp, he did it. Project for the New American Century is back on. Cheney must be thrilled.
Horribly interesting, MDW. I have been very uncomfortable with the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu. While many have speculated about what the Russians have on Trump & Co., I bet the Mossad has quite a bit, too. I don't understand the logic behind Israel's reputed eagerness to engage with the US in a war with Iran. The blow-back seems so potentially exponentially dark, which makes the entire undertaking seem suicidal. How can the WH not know what they're getting themselves into? It's so sad that it boils down to a lack of rational decision-making by major world leaders and their respective advisors.